Group A · Match 1Scheduled
Mexicovs
South AfricaJun 11, 2026 · 19:00 UTCEstadio AztecaMexico City
Forecast
Win probability
● Mexico is a slight favourite in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Mexico win50%Draw25%
South Africa win24%Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
South Africa goals →Mexico goals ↓0
1
2
3
4+
0
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
0
3
5
5
3
1
0
4+
2
2
1
0
0
Mexico winDrawSouth Africa win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Mexico v South Africa12%
Likeliest scorelines
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
49%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams score
Ones to watch
Top players
MexicoSquad not published yet.
Recent form
Team form
MexicoFormNo completed matches in this snapshot yet.
South AfricaFormNo completed matches in this snapshot yet.
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Mexico vs South Africa
v1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +2.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.0% | 50.3% | +9.3 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 25.3% | -2.7 pp |
| Canada | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 31.0% | 24.5% | -6.5 pp |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
Venue
Estadio Azteca
Mexico City
Jun 11, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Weather, altitude and climate notes require a deep-data provider and are not available in the current free-tier dataset.
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