Markets
Odds board
Title market · de-viggedfair % · best price
1
Spain58.0%-150
Spain58.0%-1502
ArgentinaEliminated42.0%+130
ArgentinaEliminated42.0%+1303
AlgeriaEliminated——
AlgeriaEliminated——4
AustraliaEliminated——
AustraliaEliminated——5
AustriaEliminated——
AustriaEliminated——6
BelgiumEliminated——
BelgiumEliminated——7
Bosnia-HerzegovinaEliminated——
Bosnia-HerzegovinaEliminated——8
BrazilEliminated——
BrazilEliminated——9
CanadaEliminated——
CanadaEliminated——10
Cape Verde IslandsEliminated——
Cape Verde IslandsEliminated——Show all 48 teamsShow top 10
11
ColombiaEliminated——
ColombiaEliminated——12
Congo DREliminated——
Congo DREliminated——13
CroatiaEliminated——
CroatiaEliminated——14
CuraçaoEliminated——
CuraçaoEliminated——15
CzechiaEliminated——
CzechiaEliminated——16
EcuadorEliminated——
EcuadorEliminated——17
EgyptEliminated——
EgyptEliminated——18
EnglandEliminated——
EnglandEliminated——19
FranceEliminated——
FranceEliminated——20
GermanyEliminated——
GermanyEliminated——21
GhanaEliminated——
GhanaEliminated——22
HaitiEliminated——
HaitiEliminated——23
IranEliminated——
IranEliminated——24
IraqEliminated——
IraqEliminated——25
Ivory CoastEliminated——
Ivory CoastEliminated——26
JapanEliminated——
JapanEliminated——27
JordanEliminated——
JordanEliminated——28
MexicoEliminated——
MexicoEliminated——29
MoroccoEliminated——
MoroccoEliminated——30
NetherlandsEliminated——
NetherlandsEliminated——31
New ZealandEliminated——
New ZealandEliminated——32
NorwayEliminated——
NorwayEliminated——33
PanamaEliminated——
PanamaEliminated——34
ParaguayEliminated——
ParaguayEliminated——35
PortugalEliminated——
PortugalEliminated——36
QatarEliminated——
QatarEliminated——37
Saudi ArabiaEliminated——
Saudi ArabiaEliminated——38
ScotlandEliminated——
ScotlandEliminated——39
SenegalEliminated——
SenegalEliminated——40
South AfricaEliminated——
South AfricaEliminated——41
South KoreaEliminated——
South KoreaEliminated——42
SwedenEliminated——
SwedenEliminated——43
SwitzerlandEliminated——
SwitzerlandEliminated——44
TunisiaEliminated——
TunisiaEliminated——45
TurkeyEliminated——
TurkeyEliminated——46
United StatesEliminated——
United StatesEliminated——47
UruguayEliminated——
UruguayEliminated——48
UzbekistanEliminated——
UzbekistanEliminated——Simulation
Where the simulations end
10,000 full tournaments, simulated from the de-vigged title market. Each bar shows the round a team’s runs were eliminated in — the darker the segment, the deeper the run.
Tournament simulation
Where 10,000 simulated tournaments end
FIFA-rank priors
GRPR32R16QFSFFINWIN
2.2%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
0.0%win cup
Bar = share of simulations eliminated at each stage · numerals are percentages
Match markets
Upcoming match odds
Per-match 1X2, totals and both-teams-to-score markets — with fair probability and a Poisson model line — live on each match page.
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