Group I · Match 2Scheduled
FraFrance
vs
IraIraq
Jun 22, 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Forecast

Win probability

France holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.

Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
France 41%
FraFrance win41%
IraIraq win31%
Draw28%
Forecast

Score distribution

Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Balanced total · 2.30 xG
IraIraq goals →
FraFrance goals ↓
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
France winDrawIraq win
Most likely scoreline
11France v Iraq13%
Likeliest scorelines
1113%
1013%
0111%
0010%
218%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
Ones to watch

Top players

Recent form

Team form

FraFranceForm
1W 0D 0L
WFranceFra31SenSenegalJun 16, 2026 · Group I
IraIraqForm
0W 0D 1L
LIraqIra14NorNorwayJun 16, 2026 · Group I
Markets

Odds board

Odds board
France vs Iraq
FrancevIraq
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.7%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-11151.0991.8%87.6%40.8%-46.8 pp
IraqIraq+280029.003.4%3.3%31.0%+27.7 pp
Draw+95010.509.5%9.1%28.2%+19.1 pp
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.9%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1041.9651.0%47.7%
Under3.5-1271.7955.9%52.3%
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +6.1%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-12991.0892.9%87.5%40.8%-46.7 pp
IraqIraq+280029.003.4%3.2%31.0%+27.7 pp
Draw+92010.209.8%9.2%28.2%+18.9 pp
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-2.5-1291.7856.3%52.1%40.8%-11.3 pp
IraqIraq2.5-1071.9351.7%47.9%31.0%-16.9 pp
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1061.9451.5%47.7%
Under3.5-1301.7756.5%52.3%
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.7%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-10001.1090.9%87.7%40.8%-46.9 pp
IraqIraq+300031.003.2%3.1%31.0%+27.9 pp
Draw+95010.509.5%9.2%28.2%+19.0 pp
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-2.5-1141.8853.3%51.3%40.8%-10.5 pp
IraqIraq2.5-1021.9850.5%48.7%31.0%-17.7 pp
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1021.9850.5%48.7%
Under3.5-1141.8853.3%51.3%
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.8%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-13001.0892.9%87.8%40.8%-46.9 pp
IraqIraq+250026.003.8%3.6%31.0%+27.3 pp
Draw+100011.009.1%8.6%28.2%+19.6 pp
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.5%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-2.5-1221.8255.0%52.6%40.8%-11.8 pp
IraqIraq2.5+1022.0249.5%47.4%31.0%-16.4 pp
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.7%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1051.9551.2%48.9%
Under3.5-1151.8753.5%51.1%
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.1%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-12001.0892.3%88.7%40.8%-47.8 pp
IraqIraq+280029.003.4%3.3%31.0%+27.7 pp
Draw+110012.008.3%8.0%28.2%+20.2 pp
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +5.0%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-11001.0991.7%87.3%40.8%-46.4 pp
IraqIraq+250026.003.8%3.7%31.0%+27.3 pp
Draw+95010.509.5%9.1%28.2%+19.1 pp
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +5.6%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5+1002.0050.0%47.4%
Under3.5-1251.8055.6%52.6%
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +4.3%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-11001.0991.7%87.9%40.8%-47.0 pp
IraqIraq+270028.003.6%3.4%31.0%+27.6 pp
Draw+100011.009.1%8.7%28.2%+19.5 pp
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +4.6%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-12001.0892.3%88.2%40.8%-47.4 pp
IraqIraq+300031.003.2%3.1%31.0%+27.9 pp
Draw+100011.009.1%8.7%28.2%+19.5 pp
Handicap
BetUSvig +4.5%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-2.5-1211.8354.8%52.4%40.8%-11.6 pp
IraqIraq2.5+1012.0149.8%47.6%31.0%-16.6 pp
Total Goals
BetUSvig +4.7%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1051.9551.2%48.9%
Under3.5-1151.8753.5%51.1%
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.7%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-10001.1090.9%87.7%40.8%-46.9 pp
IraqIraq+300031.003.2%3.1%31.0%+27.9 pp
Draw+95010.509.5%9.2%28.2%+19.0 pp
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-2.5-1141.8853.3%51.3%40.8%-10.5 pp
IraqIraq2.5-1021.9850.5%48.7%31.0%-17.7 pp
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFair
Over3.5-1021.9850.5%48.7%
Under3.5-1141.8853.3%51.3%
1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +5.0%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-13001.0892.9%88.4%40.8%-47.6 pp
IraqIraq+250026.003.8%3.7%31.0%+27.3 pp
Draw+110012.008.3%7.9%28.2%+20.3 pp
1X2 · Match Result
Caesarsvig +6.5%
SelectionAmer.Dec.ImpliedFairModelEdge
FranceFrance-12001.0892.3%86.7%40.8%-45.9 pp
IraqIraq+230024.004.2%3.9%31.0%+27.1 pp
Draw+90010.0010.0%9.4%28.2%+18.8 pp

Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.

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