Group I · Match 2Scheduled

Norway

Senegal

Jun 23, 2026 · 00:00 UTC

Forecast

Win probability

● Norway holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.

Win probability

Chance of each result in regulation (90′)

★ Norway 41%

Norway win41%

Senegal win31%

Draw28%

Forecast

Score distribution

Probability of each exact scoreline

Balanced total · 2.30 xG

Senegal goals →

Norway goals ↓

Norway winDrawSenegal win

Most likely scoreline

1–1Norway v Senegal13%

Likeliest scorelines

1–113%

1–013%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams score

History

Head to head

1 all-time meeting0-0-1

Norway 0W0D1W Senegal

Goals 1–2

Recent meetings

1-2Friendly2006

Ones to watch

Top players

Norway

Alexander SørlothFW

Jens HaugeFW

Erling HaalandFW

Andreas SchjelderupFW

Senegal

Sadio ManéFW

Cherif NdiayeFW

Nicolas JacksonFW

Ahmadou Bamba DiengFW

Recent form

Team form

NorwayForm

1W 0D 0L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

WIraq

1 – 4

NorwayJun 16, 2026Group IJun 16, 2026 · Group I

SenegalForm

0W 0D 1L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

LFrance

3 – 1

SenegalJun 16, 2026Group IJun 16, 2026 · Group I

Markets

Odds board

Norway vs Senegal

1X2 · Match Result

BetRiversvig +5.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+130	2.30	43.5%	41.1%	40.8%	-0.3 pp
Senegal	+200	3.00	33.3%	31.5%	31.0%	-0.5 pp
Draw	+245	3.45	29.0%	27.4%	28.2%	+0.8 pp

Total Goals

BetRiversvig +6.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-113	1.89	53.1%	49.8%
Under2.5	-115	1.87	53.5%	50.2%

1X2 · Match Result

MyBookie.agvig +5.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+131	2.31	43.3%	40.9%	40.8%	-0.1 pp
Senegal	+202	3.02	33.1%	31.3%	31.0%	-0.3 pp
Draw	+240	3.40	29.4%	27.8%	28.2%	+0.4 pp

Handicap

MyBookie.agvig +8.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway0	-155	1.65	60.8%	56.3%	40.8%	-15.5 pp
Senegal0	+112	2.12	47.2%	43.7%	31.0%	-12.7 pp

Total Goals

MyBookie.agvig +7.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-114	1.88	53.3%	49.4%
Under2.5	-120	1.83	54.5%	50.6%

1X2 · Match Result

FanDuelvig +6.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+130	2.30	43.5%	40.9%	40.8%	-0.1 pp
Senegal	+200	3.00	33.3%	31.4%	31.0%	-0.4 pp
Draw	+240	3.40	29.4%	27.7%	28.2%	+0.5 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetOnline.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+128	2.28	43.9%	42.4%	40.8%	-1.5 pp
Senegal	+215	3.15	31.7%	30.7%	31.0%	+0.3 pp
Draw	+258	3.58	27.9%	27.0%	28.2%	+1.2 pp

Handicap

BetOnline.agvig +3.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway-0.5	+136	2.36	42.4%	41.1%	40.8%	-0.2 pp
Senegal0.5	-155	1.65	60.8%	58.9%	31.0%	-27.9 pp

Total Goals

BetOnline.agvig +3.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-101	1.99	50.2%	48.4%
Under2.5	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.6%

1X2 · Match Result

Bovadavig +6.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+132	2.32	43.1%	40.7%	40.8%	+0.2 pp
Senegal	+195	2.95	33.9%	32.0%	31.0%	-1.0 pp
Draw	+245	3.45	29.0%	27.3%	28.2%	+0.8 pp

Handicap

Bovadavig +4.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway-0.25	+100	2.00	50.0%	47.8%	40.8%	-7.0 pp
Senegal0.25	-120	1.83	54.5%	52.2%	31.0%	-21.2 pp

Total Goals

Bovadavig +4.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-105	1.95	51.2%	48.9%
Under2.5	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.1%

1X2 · Match Result

DraftKingsvig +5.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+135	2.35	42.6%	40.5%	40.8%	+0.3 pp
Senegal	+195	2.95	33.9%	32.3%	31.0%	-1.3 pp
Draw	+250	3.50	28.6%	27.2%	28.2%	+1.0 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetMGMvig +6.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+135	2.35	42.6%	39.9%	40.8%	+0.9 pp
Senegal	+188	2.88	34.7%	32.5%	31.0%	-1.6 pp
Draw	+240	3.40	29.4%	27.6%	28.2%	+0.6 pp

Total Goals

BetMGMvig +6.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-110	1.91	52.4%	49.2%
Under2.5	-118	1.85	54.1%	50.8%

1X2 · Match Result

BetUSvig +4.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+130	2.30	43.5%	41.5%	40.8%	-0.6 pp
Senegal	+205	3.05	32.8%	31.3%	31.0%	-0.3 pp
Draw	+250	3.50	28.6%	27.3%	28.2%	+0.9 pp

Handicap

BetUSvig +3.6%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway0	-145	1.69	59.2%	57.1%	40.8%	-16.3 pp
Senegal0	+125	2.25	44.4%	42.9%	31.0%	-11.9 pp

Total Goals

BetUSvig +4.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-105	1.95	51.2%	48.9%
Under2.5	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.1%

1X2 · Match Result

LowVig.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+128	2.28	43.9%	42.4%	40.8%	-1.5 pp
Senegal	+215	3.15	31.7%	30.7%	31.0%	+0.3 pp
Draw	+258	3.58	27.9%	27.0%	28.2%	+1.2 pp

Handicap

LowVig.agvig +3.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway-0.5	+136	2.36	42.4%	41.1%	40.8%	-0.2 pp
Senegal0.5	-155	1.65	60.8%	58.9%	31.0%	-27.9 pp

Total Goals

LowVig.agvig +3.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-101	1.99	50.2%	48.4%
Under2.5	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.6%

1X2 · Match Result

Fanaticsvig +5.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+135	2.35	42.6%	40.4%	40.8%	+0.4 pp
Senegal	+200	3.00	33.3%	31.7%	31.0%	-0.7 pp
Draw	+240	3.40	29.4%	27.9%	28.2%	+0.3 pp

1X2 · Match Result

Caesarsvig +7.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Norway	+126	2.26	44.2%	41.3%	40.8%	-0.4 pp
Senegal	+198	2.98	33.6%	31.3%	31.0%	-0.3 pp
Draw	+240	3.40	29.4%	27.4%	28.2%	+0.8 pp

Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.

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