Group E · Match 3Scheduled
Ecuadorvs
GermanyJun 25, 2026 · 20:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Ecuador holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Ecuador win41%Germany win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Germany goals →Ecuador goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Ecuador winDrawGermany win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Ecuador v Germany13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
2 all-time meetings0-0-2
Ecuador 0W0D2W Germany
Goals 2–7
Recent meetings
2-4Friendly2013
0-3FIFA World Cup2006
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
EcuadorFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Ecuador vs Germany
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +4.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +410 | 5.10 | 19.6% | 18.8% | 40.8% | +22.1 pp |
| Germany | -145 | 1.69 | 59.2% | 56.7% | 31.0% | -25.7 pp |
| Draw | +290 | 3.90 | 25.6% | 24.6% | 28.2% | +3.6 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +390 | 4.90 | 20.4% | 19.7% | 40.8% | +21.1 pp |
| Germany | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 56.4% | 31.0% | -25.4 pp |
| Draw | +304 | 4.04 | 24.8% | 23.9% | 28.2% | +4.3 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador0.75 | -104 | 1.96 | 51.0% | 49.1% | 40.8% | -8.3 pp |
| Germany-0.75 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.9% | 31.0% | -19.9 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -104 | 1.96 | 51.0% | 49.1% |
| Under2.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +390 | 4.90 | 20.4% | 19.6% | 40.8% | +21.3 pp |
| Germany | -136 | 1.74 | 57.6% | 55.2% | 31.0% | -24.2 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 25.2% | 28.2% | +3.0 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -117 | 1.85 | 53.9% | 50.5% |
| Under2.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 49.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +400 | 5.00 | 20.0% | 19.2% | 40.8% | +21.6 pp |
| Germany | -145 | 1.69 | 59.2% | 56.8% | 31.0% | -25.8 pp |
| Draw | +300 | 4.00 | 25.0% | 24.0% | 28.2% | +4.2 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +400 | 5.00 | 20.0% | 18.9% | 40.8% | +21.9 pp |
| Germany | -147 | 1.68 | 59.5% | 56.2% | 31.0% | -25.3 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.9% | 28.2% | +3.3 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador1 | -156 | 1.64 | 60.9% | 56.4% | 40.8% | -15.5 pp |
| Germany-1 | +112 | 2.12 | 47.2% | 43.6% | 31.0% | -12.7 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +7.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -116 | 1.86 | 53.7% | 49.8% |
| Under2.5 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.2% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +390 | 4.90 | 20.4% | 19.4% | 40.8% | +21.5 pp |
| Germany | -142 | 1.70 | 58.7% | 55.7% | 31.0% | -24.7 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 25.0% | 28.2% | +3.2 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador0.75 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pp |
| Germany-0.75 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 31.0% | -19.5 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +390 | 4.90 | 20.4% | 19.7% | 40.8% | +21.1 pp |
| Germany | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 56.4% | 31.0% | -25.4 pp |
| Draw | +304 | 4.04 | 24.8% | 23.9% | 28.2% | +4.3 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador0.75 | -104 | 1.96 | 51.0% | 49.1% | 40.8% | -8.3 pp |
| Germany-0.75 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.9% | 31.0% | -19.9 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -104 | 1.96 | 51.0% | 49.1% |
| Under2.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +12.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ecuador | +333 | 4.33 | 23.1% | 20.5% | 40.8% | +20.3 pp |
| Germany | -160 | 1.63 | 61.5% | 54.7% | 31.0% | -23.8 pp |
| Draw | +260 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 24.7% | 28.2% | +3.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +8.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 50.0% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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