Group I · Match 3Scheduled
Senegalvs
IraqJun 26, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Senegal holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Senegal win41%Iraq win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Iraq goals →Senegal goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Senegal winDrawIraq win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Senegal v Iraq13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Senegal vs Iraq
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +4.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +900 | 10.00 | 10.0% | 9.5% | 31.0% | +21.4 pp |
| Senegal | -330 | 1.30 | 76.7% | 73.1% | 40.8% | -32.3 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.3% | 28.2% | +10.9 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +850 | 9.50 | 10.5% | 10.2% | 31.0% | +20.8 pp |
| Senegal | -300 | 1.33 | 75.0% | 72.5% | 40.8% | -31.6 pp |
| Draw | +457 | 5.57 | 18.0% | 17.3% | 28.2% | +10.8 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq1.5 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 51.6% | 31.0% | -20.6 pp |
| Senegal-1.5 | -101 | 1.99 | 50.2% | 48.4% | 40.8% | -7.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Under2.5 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +900 | 10.00 | 10.0% | 9.7% | 31.0% | +21.3 pp |
| Senegal | -278 | 1.36 | 73.5% | 71.0% | 40.8% | -30.2 pp |
| Draw | +400 | 5.00 | 20.0% | 19.3% | 28.2% | +8.9 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 51.5% |
| Under2.5 | -107 | 1.93 | 51.7% | 48.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +1000 | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.7% | 31.0% | +22.2 pp |
| Senegal | -330 | 1.30 | 76.7% | 73.8% | 40.8% | -32.9 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.5% | 28.2% | +10.7 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +920 | 10.20 | 9.8% | 9.3% | 31.0% | +21.7 pp |
| Senegal | -330 | 1.30 | 76.7% | 72.6% | 40.8% | -31.7 pp |
| Draw | +420 | 5.20 | 19.2% | 18.2% | 28.2% | +10.0 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq1.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 50.9% | 31.0% | -19.9 pp |
| Senegal-1.5 | -113 | 1.89 | 53.1% | 49.1% | 40.8% | -8.3 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -121 | 1.83 | 54.8% | 50.7% |
| Under2.5 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 49.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +975 | 10.75 | 9.3% | 8.8% | 31.0% | +22.1 pp |
| Senegal | -345 | 1.29 | 77.5% | 73.7% | 40.8% | -32.9 pp |
| Draw | +445 | 5.45 | 18.3% | 17.4% | 28.2% | +10.7 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq1.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 31.0% | -19.5 pp |
| Senegal-1.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.2% |
| Under2.5 | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 47.8% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +850 | 9.50 | 10.5% | 10.2% | 31.0% | +20.8 pp |
| Senegal | -300 | 1.33 | 75.0% | 72.5% | 40.8% | -31.6 pp |
| Draw | +457 | 5.57 | 18.0% | 17.3% | 28.2% | +10.8 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq1.5 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 51.6% | 31.0% | -20.6 pp |
| Senegal-1.5 | -101 | 1.99 | 50.2% | 48.4% | 40.8% | -7.6 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 51.3% |
| Under2.5 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +11.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Iraq | +725 | 8.25 | 12.1% | 10.9% | 31.0% | +20.1 pp |
| Senegal | -350 | 1.29 | 77.8% | 70.1% | 40.8% | -29.3 pp |
| Draw | +375 | 4.75 | 21.1% | 19.0% | 28.2% | +9.2 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +6.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 51.0% |
| Under2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 49.0% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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