Group G · Match 3Scheduled
New Zealandvs
BelgiumJun 27, 2026 · 03:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● New Zealand holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
New Zealand win41%Belgium win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Belgium goals →New Zealand goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
New Zealand winDrawBelgium win
Most likely scoreline
1–1New Zealand v Belgium13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
New ZealandFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
New Zealand vs Belgium
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +5.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -450 | 1.22 | 81.8% | 77.5% | 31.0% | -46.6 pp |
| New Zealand | +1100 | 12.00 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 40.8% | +32.9 pp |
| Draw | +550 | 6.50 | 15.4% | 14.6% | 28.2% | +13.6 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -455 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 75.9% | 31.0% | -44.9 pp |
| New Zealand | +1000 | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 40.8% | +32.4 pp |
| Draw | +490 | 5.90 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 28.2% | +12.5 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium-1.5 | -134 | 1.75 | 57.3% | 55.5% | 31.0% | -24.5 pp |
| New Zealand1.5 | +118 | 2.18 | 45.9% | 44.5% | 40.8% | -3.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.75 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| Under2.75 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -435 | 1.23 | 81.3% | 77.9% | 31.0% | -46.9 pp |
| New Zealand | +1200 | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 40.8% | +33.5 pp |
| Draw | +550 | 6.50 | 15.4% | 14.7% | 28.2% | +13.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -167 | 1.60 | 62.5% | 58.8% |
| Under2.5 | +128 | 2.28 | 43.9% | 41.2% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -425 | 1.24 | 81.0% | 77.8% | 31.0% | -46.8 pp |
| New Zealand | +1200 | 13.00 | 7.7% | 7.4% | 40.8% | +33.4 pp |
| Draw | +550 | 6.50 | 15.4% | 14.8% | 28.2% | +13.4 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -461 | 1.22 | 82.2% | 77.6% | 31.0% | -46.6 pp |
| New Zealand | +1175 | 12.75 | 7.8% | 7.4% | 40.8% | +33.4 pp |
| Draw | +530 | 6.30 | 15.9% | 15.0% | 28.2% | +13.2 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium-2 | +109 | 2.09 | 47.8% | 44.3% | 31.0% | -13.3 pp |
| New Zealand2 | -151 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.7% | 40.8% | -14.9 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +7.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3 | +101 | 2.01 | 49.8% | 46.1% |
| Under3 | -139 | 1.72 | 58.2% | 53.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -450 | 1.22 | 81.8% | 77.1% | 31.0% | -46.1 pp |
| New Zealand | +1100 | 12.00 | 8.3% | 7.9% | 40.8% | +33.0 pp |
| Draw | +525 | 6.25 | 16.0% | 15.1% | 28.2% | +13.1 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium-1.75 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 31.0% | -19.5 pp |
| New Zealand1.75 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.75 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% |
| Under2.75 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -455 | 1.22 | 82.0% | 75.9% | 31.0% | -44.9 pp |
| New Zealand | +1000 | 11.00 | 9.1% | 8.4% | 40.8% | +32.4 pp |
| Draw | +490 | 5.90 | 16.9% | 15.7% | 28.2% | +12.5 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium-1.5 | -134 | 1.75 | 57.3% | 55.5% | 31.0% | -24.5 pp |
| New Zealand1.5 | +118 | 2.18 | 45.9% | 44.5% | 40.8% | -3.6 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.75 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| Under2.75 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +10.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Belgium | -475 | 1.21 | 82.6% | 74.6% | 31.0% | -43.6 pp |
| New Zealand | +900 | 10.00 | 10.0% | 9.0% | 40.8% | +31.8 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 16.4% | 28.2% | +11.8 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +8.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -160 | 1.63 | 61.5% | 57.0% |
| Under2.5 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 43.0% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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