Group H · Match 3Scheduled
Uruguayvs
SpainJun 27, 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Uruguay holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Uruguay win41%Spain win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Spain goals →Uruguay goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Uruguay winDrawSpain win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Uruguay v Spain13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
10 all-time meetings0-5-5
Uruguay 0W5D5W Spain
Goals 8–16
Recent meetings
1-2Confederations Cup2013
1-3Friendly2013
0-2Friendly2005
2-2Friendly1995
1-2Friendly1991
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
UruguayFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
SpainFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Uruguay vs Spain
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -165 | 1.61 | 62.3% | 59.6% | 31.0% | -28.6 pp |
| Uruguay | +480 | 5.80 | 17.2% | 16.5% | 40.8% | +24.3 pp |
| Draw | +300 | 4.00 | 25.0% | 23.9% | 28.2% | +4.3 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -190 | 1.53 | 65.5% | 63.3% | 31.0% | -32.3 pp |
| Uruguay | +540 | 6.40 | 15.6% | 15.1% | 40.8% | +25.7 pp |
| Draw | +347 | 4.47 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 28.2% | +6.6 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain-1 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 31.0% | -21.7 pp |
| Uruguay1 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% | 40.8% | -6.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -182 | 1.55 | 64.5% | 61.8% | 31.0% | -30.9 pp |
| Uruguay | +525 | 6.25 | 16.0% | 15.3% | 40.8% | +25.5 pp |
| Draw | +320 | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.8% | 28.2% | +5.4 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -124 | 1.81 | 55.4% | 51.9% |
| Under2.5 | -105 | 1.95 | 51.2% | 48.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -185 | 1.54 | 64.9% | 61.9% | 31.0% | -30.9 pp |
| Uruguay | +500 | 6.00 | 16.7% | 15.9% | 40.8% | +24.9 pp |
| Draw | +330 | 4.30 | 23.3% | 22.2% | 28.2% | +6.0 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -182 | 1.55 | 64.5% | 61.1% | 31.0% | -30.1 pp |
| Uruguay | +480 | 5.80 | 17.2% | 16.3% | 40.8% | +24.5 pp |
| Draw | +320 | 4.20 | 23.8% | 22.5% | 28.2% | +5.6 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain-1 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 49.3% | 31.0% | -18.3 pp |
| Uruguay1 | -121 | 1.83 | 54.8% | 50.7% | 40.8% | -9.8 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -123 | 1.81 | 55.2% | 51.1% |
| Under2.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 48.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -188 | 1.53 | 65.3% | 61.9% | 31.0% | -30.9 pp |
| Uruguay | +500 | 6.00 | 16.7% | 15.8% | 40.8% | +25.0 pp |
| Draw | +325 | 4.25 | 23.5% | 22.3% | 28.2% | +5.9 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain-1 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 31.0% | -19.5 pp |
| Uruguay1 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Under2.5 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -190 | 1.53 | 65.5% | 63.3% | 31.0% | -32.3 pp |
| Uruguay | +540 | 6.40 | 15.6% | 15.1% | 40.8% | +25.7 pp |
| Draw | +347 | 4.47 | 22.4% | 21.6% | 28.2% | +6.6 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain-1 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% | 31.0% | -21.7 pp |
| Uruguay1 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% | 40.8% | -6.5 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +12.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spain | -200 | 1.50 | 66.7% | 59.5% | 31.0% | -28.5 pp |
| Uruguay | +425 | 5.25 | 19.0% | 17.0% | 40.8% | +23.8 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 23.5% | 28.2% | +4.7 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +6.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 51.0% |
| Under2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 49.0% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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