Group A · Match 1Scheduled
Mexicovs
South AfricaJun 11, 2026 · 19:00 UTCEstadio AztecaMexico City
Forecast
Win probability
● Mexico is a slight favourite in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Mexico win50%Draw25%
South Africa win24%Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
South Africa goals →Mexico goals ↓0
1
2
3
4+
0
7
7
4
1
0
1
11
12
6
2
1
2
9
10
5
2
0
3
5
5
3
1
0
4+
2
2
1
0
0
Mexico winDrawSouth Africa win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Mexico v South Africa12%
Likeliest scorelines
1–112%
1–011%
2–110%
2–09%
0–17%
49%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams score
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
MexicoFormGroup record so far: 2W 0D 0L. Match-by-match results appear once games are played.
South AfricaFormGroup record so far: 0W 1D 1L. Match-by-match results appear once games are played.
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Mexico vs South Africa
v1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +2.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mexico | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.0% | 50.3% | +9.3 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.0% | 25.3% | -2.7 pp |
| Canada | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 31.0% | 24.5% | -6.5 pp |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
Venue
Estadio Azteca
Mexico City
Jun 11, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Weather, altitude and climate notes require a deep-data provider and are not available in the current free-tier dataset.
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