semifinalScheduled
Englandvs
ArgentinaJul 15, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● England holds a narrow edge in a tight, low-scoring game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
England win36%Draw32%
Argentina win32%Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Argentina goals →England goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
15
14
6
2
0
0
1
15
13
6
2
0
0
2
7
7
3
1
0
0
3
2
2
1
0
0
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
England winDrawArgentina win
Most likely scoreline
0–0England v Argentina15%
Likeliest scorelines
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
29%
Over 2.5 goals
37%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
15 all-time meetings6-6-3
England 6W6D3W Argentina
Goals 22–18
Recent meetings
3-2Friendly2005
1-0FIFA World Cup2002
0-0Friendly2000
2-2FIFA World Cup1998
2-2Friendly1991
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
EnglandFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
ArgentinaFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
England vs Argentina
v1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +205 | 3.05 | 32.8% | 31.3% | 31.8% | +0.6 pp |
| England | +170 | 2.70 | 37.0% | 35.3% | 36.0% | +0.7 pp |
| Draw | +185 | 2.85 | 35.1% | 33.4% | 32.2% | -1.3 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +132 | 2.32 | 43.1% | 40.4% |
| Under2.5 | -175 | 1.57 | 63.6% | 59.6% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.6% | 31.8% | +0.3 pp |
| England | +165 | 2.65 | 37.7% | 35.8% | 36.0% | +0.2 pp |
| Draw | +190 | 2.90 | 34.5% | 32.7% | 32.2% | -0.5 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.4% | 31.8% | +0.4 pp |
| England | +165 | 2.65 | 37.7% | 35.5% | 36.0% | +0.4 pp |
| Draw | +185 | 2.85 | 35.1% | 33.1% | 32.2% | -0.9 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +7.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.1% | 31.8% | +0.8 pp |
| England | +155 | 2.55 | 39.2% | 36.6% | 36.0% | -0.6 pp |
| Draw | +188 | 2.88 | 34.7% | 32.4% | 32.2% | -0.2 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +5.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +130 | 2.30 | 43.5% | 41.1% |
| Under2.5 | -165 | 1.61 | 62.3% | 58.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +4.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +205 | 3.05 | 32.8% | 31.4% | 31.8% | +0.5 pp |
| England | +165 | 2.65 | 37.7% | 36.1% | 36.0% | -0.1 pp |
| Draw | +195 | 2.95 | 33.9% | 32.5% | 32.2% | -0.3 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina0 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 31.8% | -14.9 pp |
| England0 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 36.0% | -17.3 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 55.6% |
| Under2 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.4% |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +194 | 2.94 | 34.0% | 32.1% | 31.8% | -0.3 pp |
| England | +163 | 2.63 | 38.0% | 35.9% | 36.0% | +0.1 pp |
| Draw | +195 | 2.95 | 33.9% | 32.0% | 32.2% | +0.2 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina0 | -105 | 1.95 | 51.2% | 47.4% | 31.8% | -15.5 pp |
| England0 | -132 | 1.76 | 56.9% | 52.6% | 36.0% | -16.6 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +7.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -156 | 1.64 | 60.9% | 56.5% |
| Under2 | +113 | 2.13 | 46.9% | 43.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.6% | 31.8% | +0.3 pp |
| England | +165 | 2.65 | 37.7% | 35.8% | 36.0% | +0.2 pp |
| Draw | +190 | 2.90 | 34.5% | 32.7% | 32.2% | -0.5 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.8% | 31.8% | +1.0 pp |
| England | +167 | 2.67 | 37.5% | 36.4% | 36.0% | -0.4 pp |
| Draw | +196 | 2.96 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 32.2% | -0.7 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina0 | +108 | 2.08 | 48.1% | 46.5% | 31.8% | -14.6 pp |
| England0 | -124 | 1.81 | 55.4% | 53.5% | 36.0% | -17.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -138 | 1.72 | 58.0% | 56.3% |
| Under2 | +122 | 2.22 | 45.0% | 43.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.8% | 31.8% | +1.0 pp |
| England | +167 | 2.67 | 37.5% | 36.4% | 36.0% | -0.4 pp |
| Draw | +196 | 2.96 | 33.8% | 32.8% | 32.2% | -0.7 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina0 | +108 | 2.08 | 48.1% | 46.5% | 31.8% | -14.6 pp |
| England0 | -124 | 1.81 | 55.4% | 53.5% | 36.0% | -17.5 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -138 | 1.72 | 58.0% | 56.3% |
| Under2 | +122 | 2.22 | 45.0% | 43.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +4.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina | +205 | 3.05 | 32.8% | 31.4% | 31.8% | +0.5 pp |
| England | +165 | 2.65 | 37.7% | 36.1% | 36.0% | -0.1 pp |
| Draw | +195 | 2.95 | 33.9% | 32.5% | 32.2% | -0.3 pp |
Handicap
BetUSvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Argentina0 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 31.8% | -14.9 pp |
| England0 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 36.0% | -17.3 pp |
Total Goals
BetUSvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -145 | 1.69 | 59.2% | 57.1% |
| Under2 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 42.9% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
Related
Continue in chat
Preview England vs Argentina with the World Cup agent.
Stop dashboard-hopping.
Ask a question.
Join the Discord for pick notes, slate questions, product drops, and smarter NBA and MLB conversation.