Group F · Match 2Scheduled

Netherlands

Sweden

Jun 20, 2026 · 17:00 UTC

Forecast

Win probability

● Netherlands holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.

Win probability

Chance of each result in regulation (90′)

★ Netherlands 41%

Netherlands win41%

Sweden win31%

Draw28%

Forecast

Score distribution

Probability of each exact scoreline

Balanced total · 2.30 xG

Sweden goals →

Netherlands goals ↓

Netherlands winDrawSweden win

Most likely scoreline

1–1Netherlands v Sweden13%

Likeliest scorelines

1–113%

1–013%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams score

History

Head to head

25 all-time meetings11-6-8

Netherlands 11W6D8W Sweden

Goals 47–48

Recent meetings

2-0FIFA World Cup qualification2017

1-1FIFA World Cup qualification2016

2-3UEFA Euro qualification2011

4-1UEFA Euro qualification2010

3-1Friendly2008

Ones to watch

Top players

Netherlands

Sweden

Recent form

Team form

NetherlandsForm

0W 1D 0L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

DNetherlands Net

2 – 2

JapanJun 14, 2026Group FJun 14, 2026 · Group F

SwedenForm

1W 0D 0L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

WSweden

5 – 1

TunisiaJun 15, 2026Group FJun 15, 2026 · Group F

Markets

Odds board

Netherlands vs Sweden

1X2 · Match Result

BetRiversvig +5.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-137	1.73	57.8%	55.1%	40.8%	-14.2 pp
Sweden	+380	4.80	20.8%	19.8%	31.0%	+11.1 pp
Draw	+280	3.80	26.3%	25.1%	28.2%	+3.1 pp

Total Goals

BetRiversvig +6.6%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-137	1.73	57.8%	54.2%
Under2.5	+105	2.05	48.8%	45.8%

1X2 · Match Result

MyBookie.agvig +6.1%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.1%	40.8%	-13.3 pp
Sweden	+340	4.40	22.7%	21.4%	31.0%	+9.6 pp
Draw	+285	3.85	26.0%	24.5%	28.2%	+3.7 pp

Handicap

MyBookie.agvig +7.9%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands-0.5	-142	1.70	58.7%	54.4%	40.8%	-13.5 pp
Sweden0.5	+103	2.03	49.3%	45.6%	31.0%	-14.7 pp

Total Goals

MyBookie.agvig +7.9%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-135	1.74	57.4%	53.2%
Under2.5	-102	1.98	50.5%	46.8%

1X2 · Match Result

FanDuelvig +5.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.5%	40.8%	-13.6 pp
Sweden	+360	4.60	21.7%	20.6%	31.0%	+10.4 pp
Draw	+280	3.80	26.3%	24.9%	28.2%	+3.2 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetOnline.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.6%	40.8%	-13.8 pp
Sweden	+365	4.65	21.5%	20.8%	31.0%	+10.2 pp
Draw	+292	3.92	25.5%	24.6%	28.2%	+3.5 pp

Handicap

BetOnline.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands-0.5	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.7%	40.8%	-13.9 pp
Sweden0.5	+114	2.14	46.7%	45.3%	31.0%	-14.3 pp

Total Goals

BetOnline.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-128	1.78	56.1%	54.3%
Under2.5	+112	2.12	47.2%	45.7%

1X2 · Match Result

Bovadavig +5.6%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.4%	40.8%	-13.6 pp
Sweden	+345	4.45	22.5%	21.3%	31.0%	+9.7 pp
Draw	+290	3.90	25.6%	24.3%	28.2%	+3.9 pp

Handicap

Bovadavig +4.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands-0.75	-105	1.95	51.2%	48.9%	40.8%	-8.1 pp
Sweden0.75	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.1%	31.0%	-20.1 pp

Total Goals

Bovadavig +4.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.75	-105	1.95	51.2%	48.9%
Under2.75	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.1%

1X2 · Match Result

DraftKingsvig +4.4%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.1%	40.8%	-13.3 pp
Sweden	+350	4.50	22.2%	21.3%	31.0%	+9.7 pp
Draw	+290	3.90	25.6%	24.6%	28.2%	+3.6 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetMGMvig +6.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-135	1.74	57.4%	53.8%	40.8%	-12.9 pp
Sweden	+340	4.40	22.7%	21.3%	31.0%	+9.7 pp
Draw	+275	3.75	26.7%	25.0%	28.2%	+3.2 pp

Total Goals

BetMGMvig +6.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.1%
Under2.5	+105	2.05	48.8%	45.9%

1X2 · Match Result

BetUSvig +4.6%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-140	1.71	58.3%	55.8%	40.8%	-14.9 pp
Sweden	+385	4.85	20.6%	19.7%	31.0%	+11.3 pp
Draw	+290	3.90	25.6%	24.5%	28.2%	+3.7 pp

Handicap

BetUSvig +3.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands-0.5	-140	1.71	58.3%	56.2%	40.8%	-15.4 pp
Sweden0.5	+120	2.20	45.5%	43.8%	31.0%	-12.8 pp

Total Goals

BetUSvig +4.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-125	1.80	55.6%	53.2%
Under2.5	+105	2.05	48.8%	46.8%

1X2 · Match Result

LowVig.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.6%	40.8%	-13.8 pp
Sweden	+365	4.65	21.5%	20.8%	31.0%	+10.2 pp
Draw	+292	3.92	25.5%	24.6%	28.2%	+3.5 pp

Handicap

LowVig.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands-0.5	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.7%	40.8%	-13.9 pp
Sweden0.5	+114	2.14	46.7%	45.3%	31.0%	-14.3 pp

Total Goals

LowVig.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	-128	1.78	56.1%	54.3%
Under2.5	+112	2.12	47.2%	45.7%

1X2 · Match Result

Fanaticsvig +6.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.2%	40.8%	-13.4 pp
Sweden	+350	4.50	22.2%	21.0%	31.0%	+10.0 pp
Draw	+280	3.80	26.3%	24.8%	28.2%	+3.4 pp

1X2 · Match Result

Caesarsvig +6.9%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Netherlands	-139	1.72	58.2%	54.4%	40.8%	-13.6 pp
Sweden	+340	4.40	22.7%	21.3%	31.0%	+9.7 pp
Draw	+285	3.85	26.0%	24.3%	28.2%	+3.9 pp

Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.

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Head to head

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