Group D · Match 2Scheduled
Turkeyvs
ParaguayJun 20, 2026 · 03:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Turkey holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Turkey win41%Paraguay win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Paraguay goals →Turkey goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Turkey winDrawParaguay win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Turkey v Paraguay13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
TurkeyForm
ParaguayFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Turkey vs Paraguay
v1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +5.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 25.0% | 31.0% | +6.0 pp |
| Turkey | +107 | 2.07 | 48.3% | 45.8% | 40.8% | -5.0 pp |
| Draw | +225 | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.2% | 28.2% | -1.0 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -105 | 1.95 | 51.2% | 48.0% |
| Under2.5 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 52.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.7% | 31.0% | +6.3 pp |
| Turkey | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.9% | 40.8% | -6.1 pp |
| Draw | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.4% | 28.2% | -0.2 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +292 | 3.92 | 25.5% | 24.8% | 31.0% | +6.2 pp |
| Turkey | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 47.1% | 40.8% | -6.3 pp |
| Draw | +245 | 3.45 | 29.0% | 28.1% | 28.2% | +0.1 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay0.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 53.1% | 31.0% | -22.1 pp |
| Turkey-0.5 | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 46.9% | 40.8% | -6.1 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +112 | 2.12 | 47.2% | 45.7% |
| Under2.5 | -128 | 1.78 | 56.1% | 54.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.6% | 31.0% | +6.4 pp |
| Turkey | +101 | 2.01 | 49.8% | 47.1% | 40.8% | -6.3 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.3% | 28.2% | -0.1 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay0.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 52.6% | 31.0% | -21.6 pp |
| Turkey-0.5 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 40.8% | -6.6 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 52.6% |
| Under2.25 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 47.4% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +3.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +275 | 3.75 | 26.7% | 25.7% | 31.0% | +5.3 pp |
| Turkey | +110 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 45.9% | 40.8% | -5.1 pp |
| Draw | +240 | 3.40 | 29.4% | 28.4% | 28.2% | -0.2 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +270 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.5% | 31.0% | +5.4 pp |
| Turkey | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 46.3% | 40.8% | -5.5 pp |
| Draw | +236 | 3.36 | 29.8% | 28.1% | 28.2% | +0.1 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +5.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay0.5 | -127 | 1.79 | 55.9% | 53.3% | 31.0% | -22.3 pp |
| Turkey-0.5 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 46.7% | 40.8% | -5.9 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +5.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +108 | 2.08 | 48.1% | 45.8% |
| Under2.5 | -132 | 1.76 | 56.9% | 54.2% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +7.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +270 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.2% | 31.0% | +5.8 pp |
| Turkey | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.6% | 40.8% | -5.7 pp |
| Draw | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.2% | 28.2% | -0.0 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 45.9% |
| Under2.5 | -135 | 1.74 | 57.4% | 54.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +4.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.9% | 31.0% | +6.0 pp |
| Turkey | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 40.8% | -6.0 pp |
| Draw | +240 | 3.40 | 29.4% | 28.2% | 28.2% | -0.0 pp |
Handicap
BetUSvig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay0.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 52.6% | 31.0% | -21.6 pp |
| Turkey-0.5 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 47.4% | 40.8% | -6.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetUSvig +4.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +108 | 2.08 | 48.1% | 46.1% |
| Under2.5 | -128 | 1.78 | 56.1% | 53.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +292 | 3.92 | 25.5% | 24.8% | 31.0% | +6.2 pp |
| Turkey | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 47.1% | 40.8% | -6.3 pp |
| Draw | +245 | 3.45 | 29.0% | 28.1% | 28.2% | +0.1 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay0.5 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 53.1% | 31.0% | -22.1 pp |
| Turkey-0.5 | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 46.9% | 40.8% | -6.1 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +112 | 2.12 | 47.2% | 45.7% |
| Under2.5 | -128 | 1.78 | 56.1% | 54.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +6.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +260 | 3.60 | 27.8% | 26.0% | 31.0% | +5.0 pp |
| Turkey | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 45.6% | 40.8% | -4.8 pp |
| Draw | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.4% | 28.2% | -0.2 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
Caesarsvig +7.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Paraguay | +265 | 3.65 | 27.4% | 25.6% | 31.0% | +5.4 pp |
| Turkey | +101 | 2.01 | 49.8% | 46.5% | 40.8% | -5.7 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 27.9% | 28.2% | +0.3 pp |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
Related
Continue in chat
Preview Turkey vs Paraguay with the World Cup agent.
Stop dashboard-hopping.
Ask a question.
Join the Discord for pick notes, slate questions, product drops, and smarter NBA and MLB conversation.