Group F · Match 2Scheduled

Tunisia

Japan

Jun 21, 2026 · 04:00 UTC

Forecast

Win probability

● Tunisia holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.

Win probability

Chance of each result in regulation (90′)

★ Tunisia 41%

Tunisia win41%

Japan win31%

Draw28%

Forecast

Score distribution

Probability of each exact scoreline

Balanced total · 2.30 xG

Japan goals →

Tunisia goals ↓

Tunisia winDrawJapan win

Most likely scoreline

1–1Tunisia v Japan13%

Likeliest scorelines

1–113%

1–013%

0–111%

0–010%

2–18%

40%

Over 2.5 goals

46%

Both teams score

History

Head to head

5 all-time meetings1-0-4

Tunisia 1W0D4W Japan

Goals 3–6

Recent meetings

3-0Kirin Cup2022

0-2Kirin Challenge Cup2015

0-1Friendly2003

0-2FIFA World Cup2002

0-1Friendly1996

Ones to watch

Top players

Tunisia

Japan

Recent form

Team form

TunisiaForm

0W 0D 1L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

LSweden

5 – 1

TunisiaJun 15, 2026Group FJun 15, 2026 · Group F

JapanForm

0W 1D 0L

Last five gamesDateCompetition

DNetherlands Net

2 – 2

JapanJun 14, 2026Group FJun 14, 2026 · Group F

Markets

Odds board

Tunisia vs Japan

1X2 · Match Result

BetRiversvig +6.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-200	1.50	66.7%	62.9%	31.0%	-31.9 pp
Tunisia	+600	7.00	14.3%	13.5%	40.8%	+27.4 pp
Draw	+300	4.00	25.0%	23.6%	28.2%	+4.6 pp

Total Goals

BetRiversvig +6.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+104	2.04	49.0%	46.1%
Under2.5	-134	1.75	57.3%	53.9%

1X2 · Match Result

MyBookie.agvig +5.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-187	1.53	65.2%	61.6%	31.0%	-30.6 pp
Tunisia	+540	6.40	15.6%	14.8%	40.8%	+26.1 pp
Draw	+300	4.00	25.0%	23.6%	28.2%	+4.6 pp

Handicap

MyBookie.agvig +8.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan-1	-114	1.88	53.3%	49.3%	31.0%	-18.3 pp
Tunisia1	-121	1.83	54.8%	50.7%	40.8%	-9.8 pp

Total Goals

MyBookie.agvig +8.0%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+105	2.05	48.8%	45.2%
Under2.5	-145	1.69	59.2%	54.8%

1X2 · Match Result

FanDuelvig +5.4%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-195	1.51	66.1%	62.7%	31.0%	-31.7 pp
Tunisia	+600	7.00	14.3%	13.6%	40.8%	+27.3 pp
Draw	+300	4.00	25.0%	23.7%	28.2%	+4.5 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetOnline.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-191	1.52	65.6%	63.4%	31.0%	-32.4 pp
Tunisia	+610	7.10	14.1%	13.6%	40.8%	+27.2 pp
Draw	+320	4.20	23.8%	23.0%	28.2%	+5.2 pp

Handicap

BetOnline.agvig +3.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan-1	-102	1.98	50.5%	48.7%	31.0%	-17.7 pp
Tunisia1	-114	1.88	53.3%	51.3%	40.8%	-10.5 pp

Total Goals

BetOnline.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+114	2.14	46.7%	45.3%
Under2.5	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.7%

1X2 · Match Result

Bovadavig +5.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-194	1.52	66.0%	62.4%	31.0%	-31.4 pp
Tunisia	+550	6.50	15.4%	14.5%	40.8%	+26.3 pp
Draw	+310	4.10	24.4%	23.1%	28.2%	+5.1 pp

Handicap

Bovadavig +4.7%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan-1	-105	1.95	51.2%	48.9%	31.0%	-17.9 pp
Tunisia1	-115	1.87	53.5%	51.1%	40.8%	-10.2 pp

Total Goals

Bovadavig +4.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.25	-120	1.83	54.5%	52.2%
Under2.25	+100	2.00	50.0%	47.8%

1X2 · Match Result

DraftKingsvig +4.2%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-190	1.53	65.5%	62.9%	31.0%	-31.9 pp
Tunisia	+600	7.00	14.3%	13.7%	40.8%	+27.1 pp
Draw	+310	4.10	24.4%	23.4%	28.2%	+4.8 pp

1X2 · Match Result

BetMGMvig +6.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-190	1.53	65.5%	61.5%	31.0%	-30.5 pp
Tunisia	+525	6.25	16.0%	15.0%	40.8%	+25.8 pp
Draw	+300	4.00	25.0%	23.5%	28.2%	+4.7 pp

Total Goals

BetMGMvig +5.1%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+110	2.10	47.6%	45.3%
Under2.5	-135	1.74	57.4%	54.7%

1X2 · Match Result

BetUSvig +4.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-190	1.53	65.5%	62.5%	31.0%	-31.5 pp
Tunisia	+570	6.70	14.9%	14.2%	40.8%	+26.6 pp
Draw	+310	4.10	24.4%	23.3%	28.2%	+4.9 pp

Handicap

BetUSvig +4.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan-1	+100	2.00	50.0%	47.8%	31.0%	-16.9 pp
Tunisia1	-120	1.83	54.5%	52.2%	40.8%	-11.3 pp

Total Goals

BetUSvig +4.1%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+110	2.10	47.6%	45.7%
Under2.5	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.3%

1X2 · Match Result

LowVig.agvig +3.5%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-191	1.52	65.6%	63.4%	31.0%	-32.4 pp
Tunisia	+610	7.10	14.1%	13.6%	40.8%	+27.2 pp
Draw	+320	4.20	23.8%	23.0%	28.2%	+5.2 pp

Handicap

LowVig.agvig +3.8%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan-1	-102	1.98	50.5%	48.7%	31.0%	-17.7 pp
Tunisia1	-114	1.88	53.3%	51.3%	40.8%	-10.5 pp

Total Goals

LowVig.agvig +3.3%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair
Over2.5	+114	2.14	46.7%	45.3%
Under2.5	-130	1.77	56.5%	54.7%

1X2 · Match Result

Fanaticsvig +5.9%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-190	1.53	65.5%	61.9%	31.0%	-30.9 pp
Tunisia	+550	6.50	15.4%	14.5%	40.8%	+26.3 pp
Draw	+300	4.00	25.0%	23.6%	28.2%	+4.6 pp

1X2 · Match Result

Caesarsvig +7.4%

Selection	Amer.	Dec.	Implied	Fair	Model	Edge
Japan	-200	1.50	66.7%	62.1%	31.0%	-31.1 pp
Tunisia	+550	6.50	15.4%	14.3%	40.8%	+26.5 pp
Draw	+295	3.95	25.3%	23.6%	28.2%	+4.6 pp

Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.

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