Group F · Match 3Scheduled
Japanvs
SwedenJun 25, 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Japan holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Japan win41%Sweden win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Sweden goals →Japan goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Japan winDrawSweden win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Japan v Sweden13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
4 all-time meetings0-3-1
Japan 0W3D1W Sweden
Goals 4–5
Recent meetings
1-1Friendly2002
0-1King's Cup1997
1-1Lunar New Year Cup1996
2-2Friendly1995
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
JapanFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Japan vs Sweden
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 43.8% | 40.8% | -2.9 pp |
| Sweden | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.5% | 31.0% | +2.4 pp |
| Draw | +240 | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27.7% | 28.2% | +0.5 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.9% | 40.8% | -4.1 pp |
| Sweden | +255 | 3.55 | 28.2% | 27.2% | 31.0% | +3.8 pp |
| Draw | +247 | 3.47 | 28.8% | 27.8% | 28.2% | +0.3 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan-0.5 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 45.1% | 40.8% | -4.2 pp |
| Sweden0.5 | -131 | 1.76 | 56.7% | 54.9% | 31.0% | -24.0 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| Under2.25 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +114 | 2.14 | 46.7% | 44.8% | 40.8% | -4.0 pp |
| Sweden | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27.4% | 31.0% | +3.6 pp |
| Draw | +245 | 3.45 | 29.0% | 27.8% | 28.2% | +0.4 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.9% |
| Under2.5 | -130 | 1.77 | 56.5% | 53.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.5% | 40.8% | -3.7 pp |
| Sweden | +240 | 3.40 | 29.4% | 28.1% | 31.0% | +2.8 pp |
| Draw | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27.3% | 28.2% | +0.8 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +6.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +114 | 2.14 | 46.7% | 44.1% | 40.8% | -3.2 pp |
| Sweden | +236 | 3.36 | 29.8% | 28.1% | 31.0% | +2.9 pp |
| Draw | +238 | 3.38 | 29.6% | 27.9% | 28.2% | +0.3 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan-0.5 | +107 | 2.07 | 48.3% | 44.7% | 40.8% | -3.9 pp |
| Sweden0.5 | -148 | 1.68 | 59.7% | 55.3% | 31.0% | -24.3 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +7.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 45.9% |
| Under2.5 | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 54.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.2% | 40.8% | -3.3 pp |
| Sweden | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.3% | 31.0% | +2.6 pp |
| Draw | +245 | 3.45 | 29.0% | 27.5% | 28.2% | +0.7 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan-0.25 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.7% | 40.8% | -10.9 pp |
| Sweden0.25 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.3% | 31.0% | -17.3 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 52.6% |
| Under2.25 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 47.4% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.9% | 40.8% | -4.1 pp |
| Sweden | +255 | 3.55 | 28.2% | 27.2% | 31.0% | +3.8 pp |
| Draw | +247 | 3.47 | 28.8% | 27.8% | 28.2% | +0.3 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan-0.5 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 45.1% | 40.8% | -4.2 pp |
| Sweden0.5 | -131 | 1.76 | 56.7% | 54.9% | 31.0% | -24.0 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
| Under2.25 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +13.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Japan | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 43.1% | 40.8% | -2.2 pp |
| Sweden | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.5% | 31.0% | +2.5 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 28.5% | 28.2% | -0.3 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +7.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 46.5% |
| Under2.5 | -135 | 1.74 | 57.4% | 53.5% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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