Group F · Match 3Scheduled
Tunisiavs
NetherlandsJun 25, 2026 · 23:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Tunisia holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Tunisia win41%Netherlands win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Netherlands goals →Tunisia goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Tunisia winDrawNetherlands win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Tunisia v Netherlands13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
3 all-time meetings0-2-1
Tunisia 0W2D1W Netherlands
Goals 3–7
Recent meetings
1-1Friendly2009
2-2Friendly1994
0-4Friendly1978
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
TunisiaForm
NetherlandsFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Tunisia vs Netherlands
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -300 | 1.33 | 75.0% | 70.7% | 31.0% | -39.8 pp |
| Tunisia | +700 | 8.00 | 12.5% | 11.8% | 40.8% | +29.0 pp |
| Draw | +440 | 5.40 | 18.5% | 17.5% | 28.2% | +10.7 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -285 | 1.35 | 74.0% | 71.5% | 31.0% | -40.5 pp |
| Tunisia | +780 | 8.80 | 11.4% | 11.0% | 40.8% | +29.9 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.6% | 28.2% | +10.6 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands-1.5 | -109 | 1.92 | 52.2% | 50.2% | 31.0% | -19.2 pp |
| Tunisia1.5 | -107 | 1.93 | 51.7% | 49.8% | 40.8% | -8.9 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 56.5% |
| Under2.5 | +123 | 2.23 | 44.8% | 43.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +3.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -315 | 1.32 | 75.9% | 73.0% | 31.0% | -42.0 pp |
| Tunisia | +950 | 10.50 | 9.5% | 9.2% | 40.8% | +31.7 pp |
| Draw | +440 | 5.40 | 18.5% | 17.8% | 28.2% | +10.4 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -162 | 1.62 | 61.8% | 58.2% |
| Under2.5 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.8% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -310 | 1.32 | 75.6% | 72.5% | 31.0% | -41.5 pp |
| Tunisia | +850 | 9.50 | 10.5% | 10.1% | 40.8% | +30.7 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.4% | 28.2% | +10.8 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +6.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -319 | 1.31 | 76.1% | 71.8% | 31.0% | -40.9 pp |
| Tunisia | +810 | 9.10 | 11.0% | 10.4% | 40.8% | +30.5 pp |
| Draw | +430 | 5.30 | 18.9% | 17.8% | 28.2% | +10.4 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands-1.5 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 49.5% | 31.0% | -18.5 pp |
| Tunisia1.5 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 50.5% | 40.8% | -9.7 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3 | +109 | 2.09 | 47.8% | 44.3% |
| Under3 | -151 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -335 | 1.30 | 77.0% | 73.0% | 31.0% | -42.1 pp |
| Tunisia | +875 | 9.75 | 10.3% | 9.7% | 40.8% | +31.1 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.2% | 28.2% | +10.9 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands-1.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 31.0% | -19.5 pp |
| Tunisia1.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 40.8% | -8.7 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.75 | -122 | 1.82 | 55.0% | 52.6% |
| Under2.75 | +102 | 2.02 | 49.5% | 47.4% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -285 | 1.35 | 74.0% | 71.5% | 31.0% | -40.5 pp |
| Tunisia | +780 | 8.80 | 11.4% | 11.0% | 40.8% | +29.9 pp |
| Draw | +450 | 5.50 | 18.2% | 17.6% | 28.2% | +10.6 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands-1.5 | -109 | 1.92 | 52.2% | 50.2% | 31.0% | -19.2 pp |
| Tunisia1.5 | -107 | 1.93 | 51.7% | 49.8% | 40.8% | -8.9 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 56.5% |
| Under2.5 | +123 | 2.23 | 44.8% | 43.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +11.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Netherlands | -350 | 1.29 | 77.8% | 70.0% | 31.0% | -39.0 pp |
| Tunisia | +700 | 8.00 | 12.5% | 11.2% | 40.8% | +29.6 pp |
| Draw | +380 | 4.80 | 20.8% | 18.8% | 28.2% | +9.4 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +8.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -155 | 1.65 | 60.8% | 56.1% |
| Under2.5 | +110 | 2.10 | 47.6% | 43.9% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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