Group D · Match 3Scheduled
Paraguayvs
AustraliaJun 26, 2026 · 02:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Paraguay holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Paraguay win41%Australia win31%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Australia goals →Paraguay goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
10
11
6
2
1
0
1
13
13
7
2
1
0
2
8
8
4
2
0
0
3
3
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Paraguay winDrawAustralia win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Paraguay v Australia13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
40%
Over 2.5 goals
46%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
5 all-time meetings0-3-2
Paraguay 0W3D2W Australia
Goals 2–4
Recent meetings
0-1Friendly2010
1-1Friendly2006
1-2Friendly2000
0-0Friendly2000
0-0Friendly2000
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
ParaguayFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Paraguay vs Australia
v1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.6% | 31.0% | +2.4 pp |
| Paraguay | +120 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 42.9% | 40.8% | -2.0 pp |
| Draw | +230 | 3.30 | 30.3% | 28.6% | 28.2% | -0.4 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27.6% | 31.0% | +3.4 pp |
| Paraguay | +123 | 2.23 | 44.8% | 43.3% | 40.8% | -2.5 pp |
| Draw | +232 | 3.32 | 30.1% | 29.1% | 28.2% | -0.9 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia0.25 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.7% | 31.0% | -17.7 pp |
| Paraguay-0.25 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 51.3% | 40.8% | -10.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
| Under2.25 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +5.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +245 | 3.45 | 29.0% | 27.6% | 31.0% | +3.4 pp |
| Paraguay | +120 | 2.20 | 45.5% | 43.2% | 40.8% | -2.4 pp |
| Draw | +225 | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.2% | 28.2% | -1.1 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.7% |
| Under2.5 | -165 | 1.61 | 62.3% | 58.3% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +255 | 3.55 | 28.2% | 26.9% | 31.0% | +4.0 pp |
| Paraguay | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.5% | 40.8% | -3.7 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.6% | 28.2% | -0.4 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +246 | 3.46 | 28.9% | 27.3% | 31.0% | +3.7 pp |
| Paraguay | +117 | 2.17 | 46.1% | 43.5% | 40.8% | -2.7 pp |
| Draw | +224 | 3.24 | 30.9% | 29.2% | 28.2% | -1.0 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia0.5 | -151 | 1.66 | 60.2% | 55.7% | 31.0% | -24.7 pp |
| Paraguay-0.5 | +109 | 2.09 | 47.8% | 44.3% | 40.8% | -3.5 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -148 | 1.68 | 59.7% | 55.3% |
| Under2 | +107 | 2.07 | 48.3% | 44.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +240 | 3.40 | 29.4% | 27.8% | 31.0% | +3.2 pp |
| Paraguay | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.0% | 40.8% | -3.1 pp |
| Draw | +235 | 3.35 | 29.9% | 28.2% | 28.2% | -0.0 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia0.25 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.3% | 31.0% | -17.3 pp |
| Paraguay-0.25 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.7% | 40.8% | -10.9 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | +100 | 2.00 | 50.0% | 47.8% |
| Under2.25 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.2% |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +250 | 3.50 | 28.6% | 27.6% | 31.0% | +3.4 pp |
| Paraguay | +123 | 2.23 | 44.8% | 43.3% | 40.8% | -2.5 pp |
| Draw | +232 | 3.32 | 30.1% | 29.1% | 28.2% | -0.9 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia0.25 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.7% | 31.0% | -17.7 pp |
| Paraguay-0.25 | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 51.3% | 40.8% | -10.5 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.25 | +104 | 2.04 | 49.0% | 47.3% |
| Under2.25 | -120 | 1.83 | 54.5% | 52.7% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +13.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Australia | +220 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 27.6% | 31.0% | +3.4 pp |
| Paraguay | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 43.0% | 40.8% | -2.2 pp |
| Draw | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 29.4% | 28.2% | -1.2 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +8.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 41.1% |
| Under2.5 | -175 | 1.57 | 63.6% | 58.9% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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