round_of_32Scheduled
FraFrance
vs
SweSweden
Jun 30, 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Forecast

Win probability

● France is the clear favourite in an open, high-scoring game.

Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
★ France 75%
FraFrance win75%
Draw16%
SweSweden win9%
Forecast

Score distribution

Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
High-scoring lean · 3.12 xG
SweSweden goals →
FraFrance goals ↓
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
4
3
1
0
0
0
1
11
8
3
1
0
0
2
13
9
3
1
0
0
3
10
7
3
1
0
0
4
6
4
2
0
0
0
5+
5
3
1
0
0
0
France winDrawSweden win
Most likely scoreline
2–0France v Sweden13%
Likeliest scorelines
2–013%
1–011%
3–010%
2–19%
1–18%
60%
Over 2.5 goals
47%
Both teams score
History

Head to head

23 all-time meetings12-5-6
France 12W5D6W Sweden
Goals 34–23
Recent meetings
4-2UEFA Nations League2020
1-0UEFA Nations League2020
1-2FIFA World Cup qualification2017
2-1FIFA World Cup qualification2016
1-0Friendly2014
Ones to watch

Top players

FraFrance
Jean-Philippe MatetaFW
Ousmane DembéléFW
Kylian MbappéFW
Marcus Thuram-UlienFW
SweSweden
Alexander IsakFW
Viktor GyökeresFW
Gustaf NilssonFW
Benjamin NygrenFW
Recent form

Team form

FraFranceForm
3W 0D 0L
WNorwayNor1 – 4FraFranceJun 26, 2026 · Group I
WFranceFra3 – 0IraIraqJun 22, 2026 · Group I
WFranceFra3 – 1SenSenegalJun 16, 2026 · Group I
SweSwedenForm
1W 1D 1L
DJapanJap1 – 1SweSwedenJun 25, 2026 · Group F
LNetherlandsNet5 – 1SweSwedenJun 20, 2026 · Group F
WSwedenSwe5 – 1TunTunisiaJun 15, 2026 · Group F
Related
France & all teamsTournament odds boardFull schedule
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