round_of_32Scheduled
MexMexico
vs
EcuEcuador
Jul 1, 2026 · 01:00 UTC
Forecast

Win probability

Mexico is a slight favourite in a tight, low-scoring game.

Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Mexico 44%
MexMexico win44%
Draw31%
EcuEcuador win25%
Forecast

Score distribution

Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Low-scoring lean · 1.88 xG
EcuEcuador goals →
MexMexico goals ↓
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
15
12
4
1
0
0
1
17
13
5
1
0
0
2
10
7
3
1
0
0
3
4
3
1
0
0
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mexico winDrawEcuador win
Most likely scoreline
10Mexico v Ecuador17%
Likeliest scorelines
1017%
0015%
1113%
0112%
2010%
29%
Over 2.5 goals
36%
Both teams score
History

Head to head

26 all-time meetings14-8-4
Mexico 14W8D4W Ecuador
Goals 4327
Recent meetings
1-1Friendly2025
0-0Copa América2024
0-0Friendly2022
2-3Friendly2021
3-2Friendly2019
Ones to watch

Top players

Recent form

Team form

MexMexicoForm
3W 0D 0L
WCzechiaCze03MexMexicoJun 25, 2026 · Group A
WMexicoMex10SouSouth KoreaJun 19, 2026 · Group A
WMexicoMex20SouSouth AfricaJun 11, 2026 · Group A
EcuEcuadorForm
1W 1D 1L
WEcuadorEcu21GerGermanyJun 25, 2026 · Group E
DEcuadorEcu00CurCuraçaoJun 21, 2026 · Group E
LIvory CoastIvo10EcuEcuadorJun 14, 2026 · Group E
Related
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