round_of_16Scheduled
Mexicovs
EnglandJul 6, 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● England holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
England win41%Draw31%
Mexico win28%Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
England goals →Mexico goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
14
16
9
3
1
0
1
12
13
7
3
1
0
2
5
6
3
1
0
0
3
1
2
1
0
0
0
4
0
0
0
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Mexico winDrawEngland win
Most likely scoreline
0–1Mexico v England16%
Likeliest scorelines
0–116%
0–014%
1–113%
1–012%
0–29%
31%
Over 2.5 goals
38%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
10 all-time meetings2-1-7
Mexico 2W1D7W England
Goals 4–27
Recent meetings
1-3Friendly2010
0-4Friendly2001
0-2Friendly1997
0-3Friendly1986
1-0Friendly1985
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
MexicoFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
Mexico vs England
v1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +5.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +145 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.6% | 41.0% | +2.4 pp |
| Mexico | +205 | 3.05 | 32.8% | 31.0% | 28.0% | -3.0 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.5% | 31.0% | +0.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +148 | 2.48 | 40.3% | 37.9% |
| Under2.5 | -195 | 1.51 | 66.1% | 62.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +150 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.9% | 41.0% | +3.1 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.6% | 28.0% | -3.6 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.5% | 31.0% | +0.5 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +145 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.4% | 41.0% | +2.6 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.3% | 28.0% | -3.3 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.3% | 31.0% | +0.7 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +7.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 38.8% | 41.0% | +2.1 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.1% | 28.0% | -3.1 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.1% | 31.0% | +1.0 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +5.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | +150 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.9% |
| Under2.5 | -190 | 1.53 | 65.5% | 62.1% |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +6.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +146 | 2.46 | 40.7% | 38.3% | 41.0% | +2.6 pp |
| Mexico | +206 | 3.06 | 32.7% | 30.8% | 28.0% | -2.9 pp |
| Draw | +206 | 3.06 | 32.7% | 30.8% | 31.0% | +0.2 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0 | -147 | 1.68 | 59.5% | 55.1% | 41.0% | -14.1 pp |
| Mexico0 | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 44.9% | 28.0% | -16.9 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -129 | 1.78 | 56.3% | 52.1% |
| Under2 | -107 | 1.93 | 51.7% | 47.9% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +3.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +155 | 2.55 | 39.2% | 37.8% | 41.0% | +3.2 pp |
| Mexico | +205 | 3.05 | 32.8% | 31.6% | 28.0% | -3.6 pp |
| Draw | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.6% | 31.0% | +0.4 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +5.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +150 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 37.9% | 41.0% | +3.1 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.6% | 28.0% | -3.6 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.5% | 31.0% | +0.5 pp |
Handicap
BetUSvig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 50.4% | 41.0% | -9.5 pp |
| Mexico0 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.6% | 28.0% | -21.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetUSvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% |
| Under2 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +157 | 2.57 | 38.9% | 37.6% | 41.0% | +3.4 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 32.2% | 28.0% | -4.2 pp |
| Draw | +220 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 30.2% | 31.0% | +0.9 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.7% | 41.0% | -12.8 pp |
| Mexico0 | +109 | 2.09 | 47.8% | 46.3% | 28.0% | -18.3 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 51.6% |
| Under2 | -101 | 1.99 | 50.2% | 48.4% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +150 | 2.50 | 40.0% | 38.1% | 41.0% | +2.9 pp |
| Mexico | +200 | 3.00 | 33.3% | 31.7% | 28.0% | -3.7 pp |
| Draw | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.2% | 31.0% | +0.8 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England-0.25 | +111 | 2.11 | 47.4% | 45.4% | 41.0% | -4.5 pp |
| Mexico0.25 | -132 | 1.76 | 56.9% | 54.6% | 28.0% | -26.6 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.6%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2 | -118 | 1.85 | 54.1% | 51.7% |
| Under2 | -102 | 1.98 | 50.5% | 48.3% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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