round_of_16Scheduled
PorPortugal
vs
SpaSpain
Jul 6, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Forecast

Win probability

● Spain is a slight favourite in a competitive game.

Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
★ Spain 51%
SpaSpain win51%
Draw25%
PorPortugal win24%
Forecast

Score distribution

Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Balanced total · 2.65 xG
SpaSpain goals →
PorPortugal goals ↓
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
7
11
9
5
2
1
1
7
12
10
5
2
1
2
4
6
5
3
1
0
3
1
2
2
1
0
0
4
0
1
0
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
Portugal winDrawSpain win
Most likely scoreline
1–1Portugal v Spain12%
Likeliest scorelines
1–112%
0–111%
1–210%
0–29%
1–07%
49%
Over 2.5 goals
52%
Both teams score
History

Head to head

42 all-time meetings8-18-16
Portugal 8W18D16W Spain
Goals 50–78
Recent meetings
2-2UEFA Nations League2025
0-1UEFA Nations League2022
1-1UEFA Nations League2022
0-0Friendly2021
0-0Friendly2020
Ones to watch

Top players

PorPortugal
Cristiano RonaldoFW
Pedro NetoFW
Rafael LeãoFW
TrincãoFW
SpaSpain
Borja IglesiasFW
Yeremi PinoFW
Nico WilliamsFW
Lamine YamalFW
Recent form

Team form

PorPortugalForm
2W 2D 0L
WPortugalPor2 – 1CroCroatiaJul 2, 2026 · Round Of 32
DColombiaCol0 – 0PorPortugalJun 27, 2026 · Group K
WPortugalPor5 – 0UzbUzbekistanJun 23, 2026 · Group K
DPortugalPor1 – 1ConCongo DRJun 17, 2026 · Group K
SpaSpainForm
3W 1D 0L
WSpainSpa3 – 0AusAustriaJul 2, 2026 · Round Of 32
WUruguayUru0 – 1SpaSpainJun 27, 2026 · Group H
WSpainSpa4 – 0SauSaudi ArabiaJun 21, 2026 · Group H
DSpainSpa0 – 0CapCape Verde IslandsJun 15, 2026 · Group H
Related
Portugal & all teamsTournament odds boardFull schedule
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