round_of_16Scheduled
UniUnited States
vs
BelBelgium
Jul 7, 2026 · 00:00 UTC
Forecast

Win probability

● Belgium is a slight favourite in an open, high-scoring game.

Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
★ Belgium 54%
BelBelgium win54%
UniUnited States win24%
Draw22%
Forecast

Score distribution

Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
High-scoring lean · 3.17 xG
BelBelgium goals →
UniUnited States goals ↓
0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
4
8
8
5
2
1
1
5
10
10
6
3
2
2
3
6
6
4
2
1
3
1
3
2
2
1
0
4
0
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
United States winDrawBelgium win
Most likely scoreline
1–1United States v Belgium10%
Likeliest scorelines
1–110%
1–210%
0–18%
0–28%
1–36%
61%
Over 2.5 goals
61%
Both teams score
History

Head to head

8 all-time meetings1-0-7
United States 1W0D7W Belgium
Goals 8–22
Recent meetings
2-5Friendly2026
1-2FIFA World Cup2014
2-4Friendly2013
0-1Friendly2011
0-2Friendly1998
Ones to watch

Top players

UniUnited States
Christian PulisicFW
Tim WeahFW
Haji WrightFW
Ricardo PepiFW
BelBelgium
Romelu LukakuFW
Leandro TrossardFW
Charles De KetelaereFW
Matias Fernandez-PardoFW
Recent form

Team form

UniUnited StatesForm
3W 0D 1L
WUnited StatesUni2 – 0BosBosnia-HerzegovinaJul 2, 2026 · Round Of 32
LTurkeyTur3 – 2UniUnited StatesJun 26, 2026 · Group D
WUnited StatesUni2 – 0AusAustraliaJun 19, 2026 · Group D
WUnited StatesUni4 – 1ParParaguayJun 13, 2026 · Group D
BelBelgiumForm
2W 2D 0L
WBelgiumBel3 – 2SenSenegalJul 1, 2026 · Round Of 32
WNew ZealandNew1 – 5BelBelgiumJun 27, 2026 · Group G
DBelgiumBel0 – 0IraIranJun 21, 2026 · Group G
DBelgiumBel1 – 1EgyEgyptJun 15, 2026 · Group G
Related
United States & all teamsTournament odds boardFull schedule
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