third_placeScheduled
Francevs
EnglandJul 18, 2026 · 21:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● France holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
France win38%England win35%Draw26%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
England goals →France goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
7
9
6
3
1
0
1
10
13
8
3
1
0
2
7
8
5
2
1
0
3
3
4
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
1
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
France winDrawEngland win
Most likely scoreline
1–1France v England13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
1–010%
0–19%
2–18%
1–28%
48%
Over 2.5 goals
53%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
34 all-time meetings11-6-17
France 11W6D17W England
Goals 45–75
Recent meetings
2-1FIFA World Cup2022
3-2Friendly2017
0-2Friendly2015
1-1UEFA Euro2012
2-1Friendly2010
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
FranceFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
EnglandFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
France vs England
v1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +5.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +290 | 3.90 | 25.6% | 24.4% | 35.3% | +11.0 pp |
| France | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.9% | 38.3% | -12.5 pp |
| Draw | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.7% | 26.3% | +1.6 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3.5 | +107 | 2.07 | 48.3% | 45.4% |
| Under3.5 | -139 | 1.72 | 58.2% | 54.6% |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +5.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +275 | 3.75 | 26.7% | 25.2% | 35.3% | +10.1 pp |
| France | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 49.9% | 38.3% | -11.6 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.9% | 26.3% | +1.4 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0.5 | -116 | 1.86 | 53.7% | 49.7% | 35.3% | -14.4 pp |
| France-0.5 | -119 | 1.84 | 54.3% | 50.3% | 38.3% | -12.0 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +8.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3 | -145 | 1.69 | 59.2% | 54.8% |
| Under3 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 45.2% |
1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +6.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.8% | 35.3% | +10.5 pp |
| France | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.4% | 38.3% | -12.1 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 24.8% | 26.3% | +1.5 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +4.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +279 | 3.79 | 26.4% | 25.3% | 35.3% | +10.0 pp |
| France | -104 | 1.96 | 51.0% | 49.0% | 38.3% | -10.6 pp |
| Draw | +274 | 3.74 | 26.7% | 25.7% | 26.3% | +0.6 pp |
Handicap
BetUSvig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% | 35.3% | -14.7 pp |
| France-0.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% | 38.3% | -11.7 pp |
Total Goals
BetUSvig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3 | -126 | 1.79 | 55.8% | 53.5% |
| Under3 | +106 | 2.06 | 48.5% | 46.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +6.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +270 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.4% | 35.3% | +10.0 pp |
| France | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 49.2% | 38.3% | -10.9 pp |
| Draw | +270 | 3.70 | 27.0% | 25.4% | 26.3% | +0.9 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +5.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3.5 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.0% |
| Under3.5 | -145 | 1.69 | 59.2% | 56.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +5.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +290 | 3.90 | 25.6% | 24.3% | 35.3% | +11.0 pp |
| France | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.7% | 38.3% | -12.4 pp |
| Draw | +280 | 3.80 | 26.3% | 25.0% | 26.3% | +1.4 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +5.4%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.6% | 35.3% | +10.7 pp |
| France | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.7% | 38.3% | -12.4 pp |
| Draw | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.6% | 26.3% | +1.7 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +5.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.7% | 35.3% | +10.7 pp |
| France | -114 | 1.88 | 53.3% | 50.6% | 38.3% | -12.3 pp |
| Draw | +285 | 3.85 | 26.0% | 24.7% | 26.3% | +1.6 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| England0.5 | -105 | 1.95 | 51.2% | 48.9% | 35.3% | -13.6 pp |
| France-0.5 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 51.1% | 38.3% | -12.7 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over3 | -140 | 1.71 | 58.3% | 55.6% |
| Under3 | +115 | 2.15 | 46.5% | 44.4% |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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