semifinalScheduled
Francevs
SpainJul 14, 2026 · 19:00 UTC
Forecast
Win probability
● Spain holds a narrow edge in a competitive game.
Win probability
Chance of each result in regulation (90′)
Spain win40%France win32%Draw28%
Forecast
Score distribution
Score distribution
Probability of each exact scoreline
Spain goals →France goals ↓0
1
2
3
4
5+
0
9
12
7
3
1
0
1
10
13
8
3
1
0
2
6
7
5
2
1
0
3
2
3
2
1
0
0
4
1
1
0
0
0
0
5+
0
0
0
0
0
0
France winDrawSpain win
Most likely scoreline
1–1France v Spain13%
Likeliest scorelines
1–113%
0–112%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
42%
Over 2.5 goals
48%
Both teams score
History
Head to head
38 all-time meetings13-7-18
France 13W7D18W Spain
Goals 44–71
Recent meetings
4-5UEFA Nations League2025
1-2UEFA Euro2024
2-1UEFA Nations League2021
0-2Friendly2017
1-0Friendly2014
Ones to watch
Top players
Recent form
Team form
FranceFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
SpainFormLast five gamesDateCompetition
Markets
Odds board
Odds board
France vs Spain
v1X2 · Match Result
Fanaticsvig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 39.2% | 32.4% | -6.8 pp |
| Spain | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.4% | 39.8% | +9.4 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.4% | 27.8% | -2.6 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
BetRiversvig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +145 | 2.45 | 40.8% | 38.9% | 32.4% | -6.5 pp |
| Spain | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.8% | 39.8% | +9.0 pp |
| Draw | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.3% | 27.8% | -2.5 pp |
Total Goals
BetRiversvig +6.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -117 | 1.85 | 53.9% | 50.5% |
| Under2.5 | -112 | 1.89 | 52.8% | 49.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
MyBookie.agvig +6.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +136 | 2.36 | 42.4% | 39.9% | 32.4% | -7.5 pp |
| Spain | +214 | 3.14 | 31.8% | 30.0% | 39.8% | +9.8 pp |
| Draw | +214 | 3.14 | 31.8% | 30.0% | 27.8% | -2.3 pp |
Handicap
MyBookie.agvig +4.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France0 | -149 | 1.67 | 59.8% | 57.1% | 32.4% | -24.6 pp |
| Spain0 | +122 | 2.22 | 45.0% | 42.9% | 39.8% | -3.1 pp |
Total Goals
MyBookie.agvig +5.0%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 49.5% |
| Under2.5 | -113 | 1.89 | 53.1% | 50.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetMGMvig +7.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +135 | 2.35 | 42.6% | 39.7% | 32.4% | -7.3 pp |
| Spain | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.1% | 39.8% | +9.7 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.1% | 27.8% | -2.4 pp |
Total Goals
BetMGMvig +5.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 49.5% |
| Under2.5 | -115 | 1.87 | 53.5% | 50.5% |
1X2 · Match Result
FanDuelvig +6.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 39.2% | 32.4% | -6.8 pp |
| Spain | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.4% | 39.8% | +9.4 pp |
| Draw | +210 | 3.10 | 32.3% | 30.4% | 27.8% | -2.6 pp |
1X2 · Match Result
LowVig.agvig +2.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +143 | 2.43 | 41.2% | 40.0% | 32.4% | -7.6 pp |
| Spain | +225 | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.9% | 39.8% | +9.9 pp |
| Draw | +223 | 3.23 | 31.0% | 30.1% | 27.8% | -2.3 pp |
Handicap
LowVig.agvig +3.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France0 | -142 | 1.70 | 58.7% | 56.9% | 32.4% | -24.5 pp |
| Spain0 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 43.1% | 39.8% | -3.3 pp |
Total Goals
LowVig.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetOnline.agvig +2.9%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +143 | 2.43 | 41.2% | 40.0% | 32.4% | -7.6 pp |
| Spain | +225 | 3.25 | 30.8% | 29.9% | 39.8% | +9.9 pp |
| Draw | +223 | 3.23 | 31.0% | 30.1% | 27.8% | -2.3 pp |
Handicap
BetOnline.agvig +3.1%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France0 | -142 | 1.70 | 58.7% | 56.9% | 32.4% | -24.5 pp |
| Spain0 | +125 | 2.25 | 44.4% | 43.1% | 39.8% | -3.3 pp |
Total Goals
BetOnline.agvig +3.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -108 | 1.93 | 51.9% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
Bovadavig +4.7%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 39.8% | 32.4% | -7.4 pp |
| Spain | +220 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 29.9% | 39.8% | +9.9 pp |
| Draw | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.3% | 27.8% | -2.6 pp |
Handicap
Bovadavig +4.3%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France-0.25 | +105 | 2.05 | 48.8% | 46.8% | 32.4% | -14.3 pp |
| Spain0.25 | -125 | 1.80 | 55.6% | 53.2% | 39.8% | -13.4 pp |
Total Goals
Bovadavig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
BetUSvig +4.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 40.0% | 32.4% | -7.6 pp |
| Spain | +220 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 30.0% | 39.8% | +9.8 pp |
| Draw | +220 | 3.20 | 31.3% | 30.0% | 27.8% | -2.2 pp |
Handicap
BetUSvig +3.5%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France0 | -150 | 1.67 | 60.0% | 58.0% | 32.4% | -25.6 pp |
| Spain0 | +130 | 2.30 | 43.5% | 42.0% | 39.8% | -2.2 pp |
Total Goals
BetUSvig +4.8%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Over2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
| Under2.5 | -110 | 1.91 | 52.4% | 50.0% |
1X2 · Match Result
DraftKingsvig +5.2%
| Selection | Amer. | Dec. | Implied | Fair | Model | Edge |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| France | +140 | 2.40 | 41.7% | 39.6% | 32.4% | -7.2 pp |
| Spain | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.2% | 39.8% | +9.6 pp |
| Draw | +215 | 3.15 | 31.7% | 30.2% | 27.8% | -2.4 pp |
Probabilities and odds are modeled estimates for research and entertainment, not guaranteed outcomes. Always gamble responsibly. 21+ where applicable.
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